Development Studies Programme - Birzeit University
         
 

Exit Poll Results

 

nField Research: 9, January 2005

nSample Size: (to predict the outcome) 8150

nSample Size: (for analysis) 1150

nVoting stations in the sample: 153

nMargin of error: + 3%

 

Exit Poll Results [PDF Format]   [ HTML Format]

   Results of An Exit Poll By Gender [ PDF Format]   [HTML Format]

    Distribution of Votes for Each Candidate [PDF Format]   [HTML Format]

    Other Related Topics:

                                                      Election-Day Exit Poll Methodology

                                                      Photos from the Field

                                                      Exit Poll – Work Team

 

Percentage Votes with Blank and Cancelled Ballots

 

BZU / DSP Results

Margin of Error +3%

Official Results

Mahmoud Abbas

64.5

62.52

Mustafa Barghouti

17.8

19.48

Tayseer Khaled

2.5

3.35

Abdel Haleem Al-Eshqar

2.1

2.76

Bassam Al-Salhi

3.8

2.67

Hussein Baraka

0.9

1.30

Abdel Kareem Shubair

0.9

0.71

Blank and  Cancelled Ballots

7.5

7.21

       Our predictions for Bassam Al-Salhi were higher than the official results, as three of the localities that were included in our sample were predominately supportive of the Peoples Party which he heads (i.e., sampling error).

 

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