Poll No. 16
Public Opinion Poll on Palestinian Living Conditions, the Peace Process, Rafah Operation and Sharon's Proposed Disengagement Plan
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Total %
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West Bank %
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Gaza Strip
%
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Section One: Living Conditions
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1.
At the
present time, how do you evaluate your family's economic conditions?
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|
1) Very good
|
4.0
|
3.3
|
5.2
|
|
2) Good
|
17.5
|
17.2
|
17.9
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3) Fair
|
40.7
|
43.5
|
36.3
|
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4) Bad
|
21.6
|
21.9
|
21.1
|
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5) Very bad
|
16.3
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14.1
|
19.5
|
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2.
Does the
family have a working breadwinner?
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1) Yes
|
65.4
|
66.1
|
64.3
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2) No
|
34.6
|
33.9
|
35.7
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3.
At present,
do you feel secure about yourself, your family, and your property?
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1) Yes
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17.4
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17.2
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17.7
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2) To an extent
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21.7
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21.7
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21.7
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3) No
|
60.5
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60.6
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60.4
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4) No opinion
|
0.4
|
0.5
|
0.3
|
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4.
Are you
optimistic or pessimistic about the future?
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1) Optimistic
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39.2
|
35.5
|
44.9
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|
2) In between
|
23.2
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23.5
|
22.6
|
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3) Pessimistic
|
36.8
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40.5
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31.0
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4) Do not know
|
0.9
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0.5
|
1.5
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Section Two: The Peace Process
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5.
Do you
believe that the United
States is serious about
achieving peace in the Middle
East?
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1) Yes
|
7.2
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5.4
|
10.1
|
|
2) No
|
88.8
|
90.1
|
86.8
|
|
3) No opinion
|
3.9
|
4.5
|
3.1
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|
6. Do you support return to negotiations with the Israelis?
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1) Yes
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44.7
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44.2
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45.4
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2) No
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53.2
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53.1
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53.3
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3) No opinion
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2.1
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2.7
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1.3
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7.
Do you
think that Israel has a genuine desire to achieve peace with the
Palestinians?
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1) Yes
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8.8
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8.1
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9.8
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2) No
|
88.2
|
88.5
|
87.8
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3) No opinion
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3.0
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3.3
|
2.4
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8.
Do you
believe that peace is possible between Palestinians and Israelis if Israel
does not recognize the right of Palestinian refugees to return?
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1) Yes
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12.9
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11.6
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15.0
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2) No
|
84.3
|
84.8
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83.6
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3) No opinion
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2.8
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3.6
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1.4
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|
|
|
|
|
|
|
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9.
Do you
think that there is a chance for peaceful coexistence between Palestinians
and Israelis on the basis of justice (according to UN resolutions)?
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1) Yes
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37.7
|
39.6
|
34.6
|
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2) No
|
54.3
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53.0
|
56.2
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3) No opinion
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8.1
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7.4
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9.2
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10.
In the case
that negotiations continue, under what auspices should they be under?
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1) Arab League
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51.2
|
54.3
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46.3
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2) UN
|
25.4
|
27.7
|
21.8
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3) others
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13.5
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13.0
|
14.3
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4) USA
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4.7
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4.9
|
4.2
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5) Not sure
|
5.2
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0.0
|
13.3
|
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11.
Do you feel
that the rallies organized by the Israeli peace movement are important in
opposing Prime Minister Sharon’s policies?
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1) Yes, Important
|
51.9
|
47.1
|
59.4
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2) Important to some extent
|
22.8
|
25.4
|
18.7
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3) Not Important
|
22.3
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24.1
|
19.5
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4) No opinion
|
3.0
|
3.5
|
2.4
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12.
How do you
evaluate the results of the Arab Summit held in Tunis
(21-22/5/2004)?
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1) Positive
|
3.7
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3.1
|
4.6
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2) Fair
|
17.3
|
15.8
|
19.7
|
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3) Negative
|
68.9
|
68.9
|
68.9
|
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4) No opinion
|
10.1
|
12.3
|
6.7
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13.
How do you
evaluate the role of the Arab people in supporting Palestinians?
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1) Positive
|
23.8
|
22.0
|
26.5
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2) Fair
|
31.5
|
31.6
|
31.4
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3) Negative
|
41.3
|
43.0
|
38.6
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4) No opinion
|
3.4
|
3.4
|
3.5
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Section Three: The Role of
Institutions in Rafah
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14.
How do you
evaluate the performance of PNA institutions in dealing with the latest
attack on Rafah 18/05/2004?
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1) Positive
|
21.6
|
18.9
|
25.7
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2) Fair
|
32.9
|
33.2
|
32.5
|
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3) Negative
|
39.8
|
40.4
|
39.0
|
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4) No opinion
|
5.7
|
7.5
|
2.7
|
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15.
How do you
evaluate the performance of Palestinian NGOs in dealing with the latest
attack on Rafah?
|
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1) Positive
|
45.8
|
35.5
|
61.8
|
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2) Fair
|
30.9
|
32.8
|
28.0
|
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3) Negative
|
17.3
|
23.1
|
8.2
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4) No opinion
|
5.9
|
8.5
|
1.9
|
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16.
How do you
evaluate the performance of Palestinian political parties in dealing with the
latest attack on Rafah?
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1) Positive
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43.8
|
34.9
|
57.7
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2) Fair
|
28.5
|
30.6
|
25.1
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3) Negative
|
18.3
|
22.2
|
12.2
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4) No opinion
|
9.4
|
12.2
|
5.0
|
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17.
How do you
evaluate the performance of UNRWA in dealing with the latest attack on Rafah?
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1) Positive
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46.6
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36.8
|
61.9
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2) Fair
|
28.7
|
31.6
|
24.1
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3) Negative
|
14.8
|
18.5
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8.9
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4) No opinion
|
10.0
|
13.1
|
5.1
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18.
How do you
evaluate the international position as represented by the Security Council
decision (20/05/2004) condemning Israeli attacks on Rafah?
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1) Positive
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33.7
|
26.0
|
45.9
|
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2) Fair
|
21.7
|
22.2
|
20.9
|
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3) Negative
|
38.3
|
43.8
|
29.6
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4) No opinion
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6.3
|
8.0
|
3.6
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Section For: Sharon Withdrawal
Plan from Gaza
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19.
Do you
believe that the Israeli Government is serious about withdrawing from Gaza?
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1) Yes
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19.6
|
19.3
|
20.2
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2) To some extent
|
25.2
|
23.4
|
28.0
|
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3) No
|
52.8
|
54.3
|
50.5
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4) Don’t know/No opinion
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2.4
|
3.0
|
1.4
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20.
Do you
believe that the withdrawal will be:
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1) Full withdrawal
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11.3
|
11.2
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11.4
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2) A partial withdrawal
|
50.0
|
46.9
|
54.7
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3) There will be no withdrawal
|
38.4
|
41.4
|
33.7
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4) No opinion
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0.4
|
0.4
|
0.2
|
|
21.
Do you
believe that the PNA is qualified to take over authority in Gaza?
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1) Yes
|
39.3
|
38.7
|
40.3
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2) To some extent
|
30.7
|
29.5
|
32.5
|
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3) No
|
24.7
|
25.4
|
23.8
|
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4) Don’t know/No opinion
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5.3
|
6.5
|
3.4
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22.
Will the
PNA be able to improve living conditions in Gaza
after the Israeli withdrawal?
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1) Yes
|
34.3
|
34.8
|
33.5
|
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2) To some extent
|
33.2
|
33.3
|
33.1
|
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3) No
|
28.9
|
27.8
|
30.8
|
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4) Don’t know/No opinion
|
3.5
|
4.1
|
2.6
|
|
23.
Will the
Israeli withdrawal lead to a more secure situation in Gaza?
|
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1) Yes
|
46.6
|
46.3
|
47.1
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2) To some extent
|
29.7
|
29.2
|
30.5
|
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3) No
|
20.5
|
20.6
|
20.2
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4) Don’t know/No opinion
|
3.2
|
3.6
|
2.1
|
|
24.
Will the Gaza
withdrawal reinforce the Israeli occupation in the West Bank?
|
|
1) Yes
|
76.7
|
72.5
|
83.3
|
|
2) No
|
14.9
|
16.9
|
11.7
|
|
3) No opinion
|
8.4
|
10.5
|
5.0
|
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25.
Did the
Israeli withdrawal come to avoid more Israeli causalities among Israeli
military forces?
|
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1) Yes
|
75.0
|
72.6
|
78.6
|
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2) No
|
19.7
|
20.3
|
18.8
|
|
3) No opinion
|
5.3
|
7.1
|
2.6
|
|
26.
Do you believe that the Gaza withdrawal is aimed at causing chaos and infighting among the various Palestinian factions?
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1) Yes
|
57.0
|
57.6
|
56.0
|
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2) No
|
36.1
|
33.8
|
39.6
|
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3) No opinion
|
7.0
|
8.7
|
4.3
|
|
27.
Do you believe that the Palestinian political groups will be able to avoid such a possibility?
|
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1) Yes
|
64.2
|
63.6
|
65.2
|
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2) No
|
27.5
|
26.3
|
29.4
|
|
3) No opinion
|
8.3
|
10.1
|
5.4
|
|
28.
Do you believe that Gaza might become an economically prosperous place?
|
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1) Yes
|
44.8
|
44.0
|
46.1
|
|
2) To some extent
|
33.7
|
33.1
|
34.5
|
|
3) No
|
18.0
|
18.0
|
18.1
|
|
4) Don’t know/No opinion
|
3.5
|
4.8
|
1.4
|
|
29.
In the
event that Israel withdrew from settlements in Gaza,
what would be the best option in dealing with them in your opinion?
|
|
1) Turn them into investment areas
(tourism and industrial areas)
|
40.8
|
45.0
|
34.2
|
|
2) Housing for Gaza camp residents
|
32.4
|
35.5
|
27.7
|
|
3) Tern the into public institutions
|
11.0
|
6.1
|
18.6
|
|
4) Housing for PNA employees
|
4.2
|
4.0
|
4.5
|
|
5) Housing for returning refugees from the
Diaspora
|
3.9
|
4.7
|
2.6
|
|
6) Others
|
7.7
|
4.7
|
12.4
|
|
30.
In the
event of an Israeli withdrawal, which one of the following is the most
important priority?
|
|
1) Bringing security
and personal safety
|
38.6
|
40.7
|
35.5
|
|
2) Rebuilding areas
destroyed by the Israeli occupation
|
27.9
|
29.1
|
26.0
|
|
3) Improving economic
conditions
|
15.5
|
13.3
|
19.0
|
|
4) Rebuilding infrastructure
|
12.8
|
12.0
|
14.1
|
|
5) Rebuilding PNA
institutions
|
3.9
|
3.3
|
4.8
|
|
6) Others
|
1.2
|
1.5
|
0.6
|
|
31.
In the
event of an Israeli withdrawal do you support of oppose the following:
|
|
Continuation of armed resistance
against Israel coming from Gaza
|
|
1) Support
|
61.2
|
59.2
|
64.5
|
|
2) Oppose
|
35.2
|
35.7
|
34.4
|
|
3) Don’t know/No opinion
|
3.6
|
5.2
|
1.1
|
|
Unification of security agencies
into one body
|
|
1) Support
|
84.3
|
83.1
|
86.2
|
|
2) Oppose
|
13.1
|
13.6
|
12.4
|
|
3) Don’t know/No opinion
|
2.6
|
3.3
|
1.5
|
|
Conducting an immediate legislative
election in Gaza
|
|
1) Support
|
84.1
|
80.8
|
89.2
|
|
2) Oppose
|
10.7
|
11.8
|
9.0
|
|
3) Don’t know/No opinion
|
5.3
|
7.5
|
1.8
|
|
32.
Do you
believe that the PNA has a comprehensive plan of action to administer Gaza
after Israel withdraws?
|
|
1) Yes
|
37.4
|
36.2
|
39.4
|
|
2) To some extent
|
35.7
|
37.9
|
32.1
|
|
3) No
|
19.9
|
17.8
|
23.2
|
|
4) Don’t know/No opinion
|
7.0
|
8.1
|
5.3
|
|
33.
Do you
believe that the PNA has a political program to combat the Sharon
political plan?
|
|
1) Yes
|
24.6
|
21.8
|
28.8
|
|
2) To some extent
|
25.4
|
26.8
|
23.3
|
|
3) No
|
42.1
|
41.2
|
43.4
|
|
4) Don’t know/No opinion
|
8.0
|
10.2
|
4.6
|
|
34.
Do you
believe that the Palestinian opposition has a political program to combat the
Sharon political plan?
|
|
1) Yes
|
35.3
|
31.8
|
40.7
|
|
2) To some extent
|
27.1
|
30.6
|
21.6
|
|
3) No
|
28.4
|
26.8
|
30.9
|
|
4) Don’t know/No opinion
|
9.2
|
10.8
|
6.7
|
|
35.
In general,
who would be the most qualified to lead in Gaza
after Israel withdraws?
|
|
1) a unified national leadership
|
59.0
|
56.3
|
63.3
|
|
2) PNA
|
22.9
|
21.9
|
24.5
|
|
3) Hamas & Islamic Jihad
|
16.7
|
20.1
|
11.3
|
|
4) Leftist groups
|
0.5
|
0.5
|
0.5
|
|
5) others
|
0.9
|
1.2
|
0.4
|
|
36.
Do you
support or oppose a significant role for the following entities in
administering Gaza for a transitional period after an Israeli
withdrawal?
|
|
The World
Bank
|
|
1) Support
|
57.1
|
52.9
|
63.6
|
|
2) Oppose
|
36.4
|
39.0
|
32.2
|
|
3) Don’t know/No opinion
|
6.5
|
8.1
|
4.1
|
|
Arab
League
|
|
1) Support
|
56.4
|
53.9
|
60.3
|
|
2) Oppose
|
40.1
|
41.1
|
38.6
|
|
3) Don’t know/No opinion
|
3.5
|
5.0
|
1.1
|