[ Highlights][ Analysis of Results ][ Detailed Results ][ Sample Distribution ]

[ In Arabic ][Pdf Format]

Annex 1

Results of Opinion Poll # 25

First Section: Post-Elections
	Total %	West Bank %	Gaza Strip %
1.      Were you registered to vote in the latest PLC elections (25-1-2006)?
1) Yes	81	78	85
2) No	19	22	15
If yes, did you vote in the latest PLC elections (25-1-2006)?
1) Yes	87	83	94
2) No	13	17	6
1.              If PLC elections took place today, which one of the following lists would you vote for?
1) Change and Reform	50	48	52
2) Fateh Movement	35	33	38
3) Martyr Abu Ali Mustafa	3	3	3
4) The Alternative	2	4	0.0
5) Independent Palestine	1	2	0.0
6) The Third Way	1	1	0.7
7) Martyr Abu Al-Abbas	0.2	0.0	0.4
8) The Palestinian Justice	0.2	0.0	0.4
9) Freedom and social Justice	0.1	0.2	0.0
10) Others	8	9	7
2.              Which Political group do you support?
1) Hamas	40	40	40
2) Fateh	30	27	35
3) Islamic Jihad	3	3	2
4) PFLP	3	3	3
5) DFLP	1	1	0.5
6) PPP	1	0.5	1.0
7) Independent Palestine	1	1	0.5
8)  The Third way	0.5	0.5	0.5
9) Fida	0.2	0.2	0
10) Others / Independent	7	7	7
11) No one	14	17	11
3.              On a district level, you mostly voted for candidates from ..?
1) Change and Reform	39	37	41
2) Fateh Movement	31	27	36
3) Other lists / Independents	30	36	24

 

	Total %	West Bank %	Gaza Strip %
4.              (For those who didn’t vote): What was the main factor that led you to not participate?
1) I wanted to participate, but was busy	21	24	6
2) PLC elections are irrelevant (lead to no change)	20	22	10
3) Not convinced with candidates/lists	13	13	13
4) I couldn’t find my voting center / or my name wasn’t on the lists	6	5	10
5)  I didn’t have enough information on the elections/candidates	3	4	0.0
6) My political group called for a boycott	1	2	0.0
7) Worried about being deprived of my privileges as a Jerusalem resident	1	1	0.0
8) The measures of the occupation	0.2	0.2	0.0
9) Others	35	29	61
5.              In general, do you feel satisfied with the outcome of the elections?
1) Yes	59	60	59
2) Yes to some extent	18	20	14
3) No	23	21	28
6.              Did you expect Hamas to win this majority of PLC seats?
1) Yes	36	40	32
2) No	62	57	67
3) Don’t know	2	3	1
7.              How do you evaluate the performance of the previous PLC?
1) Good	17	18	15
2) Fair	32	34	28
3) Weak	45	41	52
4) Don’t Know	6	7	5
8.              Were the PLC elections free and fair?
1) Fair	78	75	84
2) Somewhat fair	12	13	9
3) Unfair	5	5	5
4) Don’t know	5	7	3
Second Section: Priorities and Expectations
9.              Do you consider the following to be priorities for the new government (led by Ismael Haneyyah)?
Reducing unemployment rates
1) Yes	90	88	91
2) Yes to some extent	6	7	5
3) No	4	5	4
Uprooting institutional  corruption
1) Yes	89	87	92
2) Yes to some extent	7	7	5
3) No	4	5	3
	Total %	West Bank %	Gaza Strip %
Achieving economic development
1) Yes	88	85	91
2) Yes to some extent	8	9	7
3) No	4	6	2
Promoting government services
1) Yes	87	85	90
2) Yes to some extent	9	10	7
3) No	4	5	3
Solving social problems
1) Yes	86	83	90
2) Yes to some extent	10	11	8
3) No	4	6	2
Ending security chaos
1) Yes	89	87	92
2) Yes to some extent	7	8	5
3) No	4	5	3
Ending the occupation
1) Yes	85	84	87
2) Yes to some extent	8	9	6
3) No	7	7	7
Halting the building of settlements and the Wall
1) Yes	84	84	83
2) Yes to some extent	8	8	8
3) No	8	8	9
Promoting democracy
1) Yes	82	78	88
2) Yes to some extent	10	12	8
3) No	7	10	4
Consolidating public and personal freedoms
1) Yes	82	80	87
2) Yes to some extent	9	10	8
3) No	9	10	5
Obtaining international funding
1) Yes	82	81	85
2) Yes to some extent	9	8	10
3) No	8	11	5
Promoting diplomatic relations
1) Yes	80	79	84
2) Yes to some extent	12	12	10
3) No	8	9	6

 

	Total %	West Bank %	Gaza Strip %
Promoting the status of women
1) Yes	79	78	80
2) Yes to some extent	14	14	14
3) No	7	7	6
10.            Do you expect that the new government will succeed in achieving the following …. ?
Promoting government services
1) Yes	61	57	67
2) Yes to some extent	25	28	21
3) No	14	15	12
Uprooting institutional  corruption
1) Yes	60	54	70
2) Yes to some extent	25	29	18
3) No	15	17	12
Solving social problems
1) Yes	57	52	64
2) Yes to some extent	29	31	25
3) No	14	17	11
Ending security chaos
1) Yes	54	51	59
2) Yes to some extent	26	27	24
3) No	20	22	17
Consolidating public and personal freedoms
1) Yes	55	52	59
2) Yes to some extent	24	26	22
3) No	21	22	19
Promoting democracy
1) Yes	54	50	60
2) Yes to some extent	26	28	23
3) No	20	22	18
Promoting the status of women
1) Yes	51	48	56
2) Yes to some extent	29	31	26
3) No	20	21	18
Promoting diplomatic relations
1) Yes	48	44	53
2) Yes to some extent	29	32	24
3) No	23	24	23
Achieving economic development
1) Yes	47	43	55
2) Yes to some extent	33	37	27
3) No	19	20	18
	Total %	West Bank %	Gaza Strip %
Reducing unemployment rates
1) Yes	46	42	54
2) Yes to some extent	34	38	28
3) No	19	21	18
Obtaining international funding
1) Yes	45	41	52
2) Yes to some extent	28	30	25
3) No	27	29	23
Ending the occupation
1) Yes	26	24	31
2) Yes to some extent	30	28	33
3) No	44	48	36
Halting the building of settlements and wall
1) Yes	25	21	33
2) Yes to some extent	27	27	28
3) No	48	52	39
11.            In general, do you believe that the Hamas win will lead to enhancing Palestinian chances in achieving independence?
1) Yes	48	46	51
2) Yes to some extent	27	28	26
3) No	21	21	21
4) Don’t know	4	5	2
12.            In general, do you believe that the Hamas win will lead to enhancing Palestinian chances in improving internal conditions?
1) Yes	56	51	64
2) Yes to some extent	25	28	21
3) No	15	17	12
4) Don’t know	4	4	4
13.            In general, do you believe that the Hamas win will lead to enhancing Palestinian chances in promoting democracy?
1) Yes	50	45	57
2) Yes to some extent	26	27	23
3) No	19	21	17
4) Don’t know	6	7	3
Third Section: Political Issues and the Peace Process
14.            Do you support or oppose that the PLO is the sole and legitimate representative of the Palestinian people?
1) Support	63	61	67
2) Oppose	29	30	28
3) No opinion	8	9	5

 

	Total %	West Bank %	Gaza Strip %
15.            Do you support or oppose that Hamas should recognize that the PLO is the sole and legitimate representative of the Palestinian?
1) Support	70	67	74
2) Oppose	22	23	21
3) No opinion	8	10	5
16.            Do you think that Hamas should recognize the Basic Law (constitution) that was approved by the PLC in 2002?
1) Support	55	55	53
2) Oppose	33	31	36
3) No opinion	13	14	11
17.            Do you believe that the primary decision maker should be…?
1) The PLO	39	35	44
2) The PNA	50	52	47
3) Don’t know	11	13	8
18.            Do you think that Hamas should recognize the Declaration of Independence that was approved by the Palestine National Council in 1988?
1) Support	61	61	61
2) Oppose	24	24	24
3) No opinion	16	15	16
19.            Do you think that Hamas should participate in an international conference to negotiate the future of the Palestinian-Israeli conflict?
1) Support	89	88	92
2) Oppose	7	8	6
3) No opinion	3	4	2
20.            Do you think that Hamas should recognize the international agreements and resolutions regarding Palestine?
1) Support	70	68	73
2) Oppose	23	23	22
3) No opinion	8	9	5
21.            Do you think that Hamas should recognize the agreements signed by the PLO and Israel?
1) Support	48	48	49
2) Oppose	43	41	46
3) No opinion	9	12	6
22.            Do you think that Hamas, as the new government, should enter into negotiations with Israel?
1) Support	78	79	76
2) Oppose	19	18	20
3) No opinion	4	3	4
23.            Do you support or oppose a two-state solution based on international resolutions?
1) Support	58	60	55
2) Oppose	39	36	43
3) No opinion	3	4	2

 

	Total %	West Bank %	Gaza Strip %
24.            Do you think that Hamas should recognize the state of Israel (at the present time)?
1) Support	30	28	33
2) Oppose	64	65	63
3) No opinion	6	7	4
25.            Do you support or oppose that Hamas carry out suicide attacks in Israeli cities?
1) Support	35	34	37
2) Oppose	59	58	60
3) No opinion	6	8	3
Fourth Section: The New Government
26.            Do you believe the Hamas is serious about enabling other factions to participate in decision making?
1) Yes	64	64	63
2) Yes to some extent	17	16	19
3) No	14	12	16
4) Don’t know	6	8	2
27.            Do you think that the ministers appointed by Hamas are competent for the job?
1) Yes	48	48	49
2) Yes to some extent	26	26	26
3) No	13	11	17
4) Don’t know	13	15	9
28.            So far, what is your evaluation of the performance of Prime Minister Ismael Haneyyeh?
1) Good	64	57	75
2) Fair	19	22	15
3) Weak	6	7	5
4) I don’t know	11	15	5
29.            What is your evaluation of the performance of President Mahmoud Abbas?
1) Good	54	50	61
2) Fair	27	29	24
3) Weak	15	16	13
4) I don’t know	4	5	2
Fifth Section: Democratic Values
30.            Do you support a constitution based on equal rights for all citizens regardless of religion (Muslims / Christians)?
1) Support	87	88	85
2) Oppose	11	10	13
3) No opinion	2	2	2
31.            Do you support a constitution based on equal rights for all citizens regardless of gender?
1) Support	82	84	79
2) Oppose	16	14	19
3) No opinion	2	2	2


 

	Total %	West Bank %	Gaza Strip %
32.            Do you support or oppose freedom of expression and speech?
1) Support	97	96	99
2) Oppose	2	3	1
3) No opinion	1	2	0.3
33.            Do you support oppose regular and plural elections?
1) Support	93	92	96
2) Oppose	4	5	3
3) No opinion	2	3	1
Sixth Section: Living Conditions
34.            How do you evaluate the economic conditions of your family?
1) Very good	3	4	2
2) Good	19	21	15
3) Fair	40	41	37
4) Bad	23	21	25
5) Very Bad	17	13	22
35.            In General, how do you evaluate the overall situation of the Palestinians?
1) Very good	0.4	0.4	0.4
2) Good	6	7	3
3) Fair	27	30	22
4) Bad	44	43	46
5) Very Bad	23	19	29
36.            Given the opportunity, would you immigrate?
1) Yes	18	17	18
2) No	82	82	81
3) Don’t Know	1	1	1
Seventh Section: Evaluation of  Public Opinion Polls
37.            Overall, how do you evaluate the Palestinian experience in public opinion polling?
1) Good	58	56	61
2) Good to some extant	27	28	24
3) Not good	9	9	10
4) Don’t Know	7	8	5
38.            Overall, do you trust the opinion polls carried out in the West Bank and Gaza?
1) Yes, I trust	48	47	50
2) Trust to some extant	30	32	27
3) I don’t Trust	15	14	17
4) Don’t Know	7	7	6

 

 

Annex 2

Cross tabulations

 Table (1):

Expectations for the new Government

(% of those who don’t expect the new Government to be able to achieve the following)

 

Promoting Democracy	Ending Chaos	Reducing Unemployment	Uprooting corruption	Ending Occupation
%22	%20	%22	%17	%51	High income
%18	%18	%18	%12