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Part One: The Impact of Israeli Closures on
Palestinian Life
The results reveal that 42% of Palestinian families have a
monthly income of less than $150. This percentage reaches 49% in
the Gaza Strip and 37% in the West Bank. In total, 78% tell us
that their monthly income is less than $300.
In addition, 43% of those surveyed describe their economic
conditions as being “bad” or “very bad.” This percentage
increases to 48% in the West Bank and 37% in the Gaza Strip.
47% in Gaza and 36% in the West Bank describe their condition as
“average.” In contrast, 16% of the respondents describe their
family’s economic conditions as “good” or “very good.”
The vast majority of households (74%) have partly or entirely
lost their income. A little less than one third of the
respondents (28%) say their families have completely lost their
income during the Intifada. 56% of the families have lost a
part of their income.
Compared with data obtained in a February 2001 poll, the current
poll reveals further deterioration of Palestinian living
conditions. To cope with economic stress, the following
mechanisms were used:
·
78% of the respondents said that
they are spending their savings. The percentage was (55%) in
February, a 23-point increase.
·
The percentage of families who
had to borrow money increased from 43% in February to 56% now.
·
46% of women had to sell their
jewelry and other gifts from their weddings so as to meet their
families’ basic needs. This is compared with 28% in February.
·
The current closure has affected
the type of work Palestinians are engaged in. The percentage of
those who have had to resort to domestic farming and animal
husbandry has increased from 17% in February to 33% now.
·
There was an increase in the
percentage of those forced to sell their land or other property.
This percentage reached 22% compared with 4% in February (See
Table 1).
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Table (1): Coping Mechanisms According to Region
(October 2002 Data as Compared with February 2001 Data)
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West Bank & Gaza |
West Bank |
Gaza Strip |
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1) Cuts on expenditures |
86.4 |
84.2 |
88.4 |
83.3 |
83.6 |
85.6 |
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2) Spending all or part of
savings |
78.2 |
55.2 |
81.0 |
54.4 |
73.6 |
57.0 |
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3) Borrowing |
56.2 |
42.9 |
52.5 |
37.1 |
61.7 |
52.9 |
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4) Selling wife's jewelry
or part of it |
46.1 |
27.9 |
38.0 |
25.6 |
58.0 |
31.9 |
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5) Asking others for help |
40.2 |
22.3 |
36.3 |
17.5 |
46.0 |
31.3 |
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6) Resorting to domestic
farming and raising livestock |
32.6 |
16.8 |
38.4 |
21.5 |
22.9 |
8.9 |
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7) Selling land or other
property |
22.2 |
4.1 |
19.0 |
4.7 |
30.7 |
3.1 |
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The deterioration of living
conditions is further revealed in education and health
indicators. About 54%
of respondents said they were unable to pay for their or their
children's education. The rates are almost the same for West
Bank and Gaza households (55% in the West Bank and 52% in Gaza).
Refugees were most affected. 56% of refugees said they could
not afford a suitable education for their children. 46% of
villagers and 44% of city dwellers said the same.
·
The inability to be able to afford
a proper education is also widespread among families with
educated parents. 34% of those holding BA degrees said that
they were unable to afford a proper education for their
children. Nonetheless, the data shows the least educated still
have the most difficulty affording education for their children
(49% of the illiterate, 53% of elementary degree holders).
·
In the health field, 46% of
Palestinians said they were unable to afford health services for
themselves and/or for their families were they to become ill.
The percentages in the West Bank and Gaza Strip were
close. Refugee camp residents were most affected. 53% of
refugees said they were unable to afford health services for
their children, while the same was said by 44% of villagers and
47% of city dwellers.
·
As in the field of education,
affordability of health services is correlated with education.
The data shows that the least educated are the least able to
provide health services for themselves and/or for their families
(60% of those who are illiterate, 50% of elementary degree
holders, and 30% of BA holders).
·
Of those interviewed, 56% said
there are people in their neighborhood that can not provide food
for their families. The rate reaches 60% in Gaza Strip, and 54%
in the West Bank. In addition, 65% of refugee camp
residents said they knew families in their neighborhood that can
not provide food for their members. The percentage was 57% in
villages and 52% in cities.
·
About 31% of the male respondents
said that they would be willing to immigrate if they had the
opportunity to do so. This is compared with 21% of the female
respondents.
·
38% of Palestinians who returned
to the West Bank and Gaza after 1994 (with the
establishment of the PNA) were willing to immigrate. This was in
comparison to 26% who had resided in the West Bank and Gaza
prior to the start of the Oslo process. This gap might be
explained by the fact that (returnees) tend to on average be
younger than the rest of the population.
Part Two: Societal
Priorities
·
There are mixed feelings about the
state of affairs within the Palestinian community. On the one
hand, 75% feel that there is growing solidarity between
neighbors and that people are assisting one another, on the
other, an equal percentage feel that disputes are increasing
among residents.
·
On the other hand, 72% believe no
one abides by the laws, and 50% say violence is being used more
often to resolve disputes. Still, 54% say that the police have
no role in their community (as most police stations were
destroyed by the Israeli Army).
·
When it comes to internal
politics, Palestinians are increasingly ambivalent. Over 75% of
the respondents said that they “have left politics to the
politicians,” and that they have no interest in internal
political affairs.
Those surveyed were asked to state the importance of certain
social problems, the following results were significant:
·
Over 95% felt unemployment and
poverty were “significant” or “very significant.”
·
Juvenile delinquency, PA
corruption, commercial fraud, doctors’ negligence, and
unsanitary surroundings also scored over 90%.
·
The least significant of all
problems listed by respondents was the “situation of women.”
70% felt the situation of women was a “significant” or a “very
significant” problem.
·
There was a discrepancy of
attitudes between Gaza and the West Bank concerning the
severity of the following problems:
1-
Smoking: 87% of Gazan respondents versus
73% West Bankers said it was a “significant” issue.
2-
Immigration: 78% of West Bank
respondents versus 68% of Gazans ranked this problem as “highly
significant.”
3-
Status of Women: 73% of West Bank
respondents versus 65% Gazans considered the status of women a
“significant” issue
4-
Commercial fraud: 93% of
West Bank respondents versus 89% of Gazans rated this problem as
being “significant.”
5-
Environmental pollution: 81% of
West Bank respondents versus 86% Gazans thought it to be a
“significant” problem.
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When respondents were asked to
select what they perceive to be the most significant social
problem of all, poverty received the highest mark, as 17% of the
respondents ranked it as number one, followed by corruption
within the PNA. Unemployment and drugs came third and fourth.
Out of the problems listed, pollution and women’s rights came
last.
Part Three: Reform and
Elections
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A majority of Palestinians (81%)
believe that reforming PNA institutions is a pressing matter. A
higher percentage in Gaza (86%) thought reform was
pressing when compared to those living in the West Bank (74%).
·
If implemented, 74% believe reform
would benefit the Palestinian cause.76% of men and 71% of women
surveyed believe that if reform were to be implemented, it would
benefit the Palestinian cause.
·
57% of those surveyed support
creating a Prime Minister who would work alongside the
President. In contrast, 30% opposed the idea of a prime
minister’s office.
·
Support for the creation of a
prime minister’s position increases with education.
·
49% say formation of the new
ministerial cabinet would have a positive impact on improving
the Palestinian image in the international media. About 40%
believe that the new cabinet will improve the performance of PNA
institutions and will reduce corruption. Only 27% believe the
formation of the new cabinet will have a positive bearing on
ending Israeli occupation.
·
31% of those who are illiterate
believe the new cabinet will have a positive impact on ending
Israeli occupation, compared with 22% of BA and diploma holders.
·
58% support an elections for the
Palestinian Legislative Council (PLC) even if present conditions
remain the same. This idea of a PLC elections has had more
support in Gaza (64%) than in the West Bank (54%).
·
Support for holding legislative
elections declines with education. 64% of those who are
illiterate are supportive compared with 50% of BA holders.
·
Young people are the least
supportive of a PLC elections.
·
Concerning local elections, there
is wider support for them than for legislative elections. 75%
are supportive of local elections.
·
A majority (65%) say they intend
to participate in the legislative council elections. A larger
percentage in Gaza (71%) said that they will participate,
when compared with the West Bank (61%).
·
70% of the males and 60% of the
females say they intend to participate in legislative elections.
·
The educated are the most willing
to participate in any upcoming legislative elections.
·
65% of those who are illiterate,
versus 75% of BA holders and 58% of secondary certificate
holders, say they intend to participate in legislative
elections.
Part Four: Fears of
Internal Fighting in Gaza
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Over 45% say the PNA and Hamas
share responsibility for the bloody events that broke out in
Gaza on October 6 (mentioned in the Context section).
·
26% hold the PNA responsible for
the confrontation. The percentage of those who have the same
opinion increases to 32% in Gaza. 42% of refugee camp
residents hold the PNA responsible for the clashes, compared
with about 24% of city and village dwellers.
·
Only 7% hold Hamas mainly
responsible for the above events. The percentage rose to 8% in
the West Bank and declined to 5% in Gaza Strip.
·
45% believe the Gaza
incidents are not indicative of increasing internal fighting in
contrast to 40% of Palestinians who believe this is what is
happening. The percentage rose in the Gaza Strip to 46% while it
was 36% in the West Bank. 57% of males surveyed believe the Gaza
events are not likely to cause further internal warring, an
opinion voiced by 39% of the female respondents.
·
75% of respondents believe the PNA
has the right to take all necessary measures to keep public
order.
Part Five: Assessment of
the Intifada and Armed Attacks
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Among those surveyed, 63% say that
they are dissatisfied with how the Intifada is proceeding.
Dissatisfaction is higher in Gaza (68%) than it is in the
West Bank (63%).
·
Women are less satisfied with the
Intifada than men. 66% of female respondents expressed their
dissatisfaction with the present state of the Intifada, compared
with 59% of the males.
·
The less educated are the least
satisfied group, where 71% of those who are illiterate say that
they are dissatisfied with the Intifada. This compares with 52%
of BA holders and 51% of diploma holders.
·
Young respondents in the age group
16-17 are the most dissatisfied. Seventy nine percent of young
respondents expressed this dissatisfaction. The average
dissatisfaction among the other age groups was about 60%.
·
As to their feelings about the
outcome of the current Intifada, respondents are divided. The
percentage of optimists who believe the Intifada will achieve
positive results for the Palestinian cause reached 46%. The gap
between Gaza and the West Bank, however, was very
apparent. The rate of optimism rose to 57% in Gaza, compared to
39% in the West Bank.
·
32% of those surveyed suggested
the Intifida will not achieve positive results. This percentage
rose to 35% in the West Bank and declined in Gaza to 25%.
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Palestinians are also divided over
the issue of attacks against Israeli civilians. About 30% feel
attacks on Israeli civilians have had a negative impact on the
Palestinian cause. 20% feel they have no impact (positive or
negative).
·
In comparison, 46% say attacks
against Israeli civilians have achieved positive results for the
Palestinian cause.
·
There is a wide gap between the
West Bank and Gaza concerning attitudes about attacking
civilians. 56% percent of Gaza respondents say attacks against
Israeli civilians have some positive impact, compared with 39%
of West Bank respondents. In contrast, 34% of West Bank
respondents and 23% of Gaza respondents feel that attacks
against civilians have had a negative impact.
·
In sum, 54% of West Bank
respondents and 40% of Gaza respondents feel attacks on Israeli
civilians have no impact or a negative impact.
·
Men were more positive in
evaluating attacks than women. 51% of male respondents and 41%
of female respondents say attacks against civilians have had a
positive impact.
Part Six: The American “Road Map” Plan
(**Important note: Questions concerning this plan were only
directed at Palestinians with 12 years of education or more)
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Slightly less than half of the
respondents (47%) have heard about the plan. 53% have not heard
about it at all. More respondents in the West Bank (52%)
have heard about it than in Gaza (42%).
·
55% of males say they heard about
the American plan compared with 37% of females.
·
In general, 63% showed support for
some points of the American plan and opposition to other points.
The percentage of those who express this opinion was 68% of
Gazans compared with 59% of those from the West Bank.
·
22% expressed their overall
agreement with the American plan and 14% expressed their overall
opposition. The opposition was 19% in the West Band and 8% in
the Gaza Strip.
·
In general, middle income
respondents (1401-2100)-(4201-6200) NIS per month are
most supportive of the American plan, as about 35% of them
expressed support for it.
·
Students are least supportive of
the plan.
·
The most opposition to the plan
was directed at the following two points:
1- 69% oppose the call that the PNA immediately stop the armed
uprising and put an end to the various forms of violence against
Israelis.
2- 65% oppose issuing a clear and unambiguous statement
reiterating Israel's right to live in peace and security.
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At the same time, a majority of
respondents were supportive of negotiations. 77% agreed to
negotiations through an international conference.
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