BZU
Development Studies Programme


Survey # 4: Livelihood, Negotiations, the Future, and TV and Radio Stations


Main Results

  1. In line with the continuous escalation of violent means to repress the Intifada, there has been a continuous growth of support in Palestinian public opinion towards suicide attacks on Israeli civilians. At the start of the Oslo Peace Process, in 1994 when public opinion polls showed great optimism in and support of that process, only 18% of the public supported suicide attacks. In February 2001, in the context of Ehud Barak's military strategy of putting down the al Aqsa Intifada, support for suicide attacks jumped to 53%. One hundred days after Ariel Sharon took office, and following continued escalation of military force against Palestinian civilians (including the use of F-16 bombers), this poll found 75% of the public in support of suicide attacks against Israeli civilians. (It is important to note, that 2/3 of this poll was undertaken BEFORE the killing of Israelis in Tel Aviv on June 1st-- thus it cannot be used to measure reactions to that event). At the same time, support for negotiations has declined to an all time low (at 50%) compared with an average of 75% over the last few years.
  2. The results show that the current Intifada and Israeli siege have contributed to a greater convergence of views on some issues (e.g., the continuation of the Intifada, suicide attacks), and a continuing gap on other issues (e.g., change in cabinet, assistance provision, evaluation of services and local councils).
  3. Middle class and middle age Palestinians are increasingly viewing the various issues with skepticism.  Their attitudes are becoming comparable to those of younger Palestinians who hold “hard-line” views especially in relation to the “peace process” and the PNA. Previous polls have generally indicated support for negotiations and opposition to suicide attacks among middle class and middle age Palestinians. In contrast, this poll shows decreasing support for negotiations and higher support for suicide attacks.
  4. The gap between the views of Fateh supporters and Hamas supporters has declined on issues relating to the Intifada, negotiations, and suicide attacks. At the same time, the views of Hamas supporters are more tolerant of the PNA than at any previous time. (See Table 1 at the bottom)
  5. Feelings of insecurity and pessimism are widespread among Palestinians. Over 96% of the respondents have been feeling distressed and over 81% of Gaza respondents noticed increasing emotional traumas among children.
  6. Support for the continuation of the Intifada remains equally high (72%) in the West Bank and Gaza. This same percent of respondents sees the ultimate goals of the Intifada as liberation and an independent Palestinian State in the West Bank and Gaza.
  7. Reactions to the Mitchell Report are mixed. While the overwhelming majority (again 72%) are against ending the Intifada solely in exchange for a settlement freeze, a much lower (49%) are firmly against a cease-fire (Our field researchers confirmed that the majority of respondents were in disagreement with how the Report uses the term “violence”. The respondents insited on using the term “resistance” instead. They also said that what is called “violence” by the Report is only a reaction to Israeli use of excessive military force).
  8. Support for President Arafat has increased over the last 3 months.
  9. Respondents give the PNA a positive evaluation for its political position towards the Intifada, but it does less well in assessments of its role in responding to the populations emergency needs.
  10. The results show variance in views between the less educated and the educated. (See Table 2 at the bottom)
  11. Support for Hamas and Islamic Jihad is on the rise (especially in Gaza), while support for Fateh is declining.
  12. Of the international actors, the United States receives the least favorable evaluation in terms of its role played during the Intifada.
  13. In regards to news about the Intifada, Al-Jazeera is the most popular and Abu Dabi is the most trusted. Palestinian stations score high. Israeli stations are not trusted.
  14. 60% of educated persons surveyed oppose providing children with any “military training” during summer camps. In contrast, 68% of the illiterate support such training.

 

Analysis of the Results

  1. Feelings of personal insecurity are widespread among Palestinians

  2. Pessimism is on the rise

  3. Feelings of insecurity and pessimism are associated with feelings of distress.

  4. The majority of children are suffering from emotional traumas.

  5. Support for the Intifada and opposition to the Mitchell Report
  6. Support for negotiations with Israel declines.

  7. Support for “suicide attacks” increases from 18% in 1994 to 75% in 2001.

  8. The USA receives the most negative evaluation for its role with respect to the current Intifada

  9. The PNA gets a positive evaluation for its general political role in supporting the Intifada, but does less well on specific issues.

    General Role:


    Specific Role:

  10. Increase in the popularity of President Yassir Arafat.

  11. Evaluation of the Media’s coverage of the current Intifada

 

The various stations are ranked below according to the percentage of their viewer-ship (in descending order):

  1. Al-Jazeera (Satellite news station)
  2. Abu-Dhabi (Satellite Station-variety of programs including news)
  3. Palestinian Official Radio (Voice of Palestine)
  4. Palestinian Official TV – PBC (both regular and satellite station):
  5. Palestinian local-private stations:
  6. MBC (Satellite station, variety of programs)
  7. Jordan TV (regular and satellite station – variety of programs):
  8. Israeli TV (One news broadcast in Arabic)
  9. Israeli Radio (an all-day official station with a large number of news programs in Arabic)

Other significant findings:

 

Table (1): Attitudes of Fateh and Hamas supporters

Issue

Hamas

Fateh

Positive evaluation of President Arafat

45%

77%

Support for negotiations

45%

60%

Opposition to suicide attacks

13%

23%

Trust in Palestinian Official TV’s Intifada coverage

53%

64%

Negative evaluation of PNA’s role during the Intifada

21%

5%

Support for continuation of Intifada

80%

83%

Support for “mutual seize fire” as proposed by Mitchell Report

30%

31%

Opposition t firing from Palestinian residential areas

80%

80%

Percentage of those who are optimistic

38%

41%

Negative evaluation of USA’s role during the Intifada

91%

93%

Negative evaluation of Islamic countries’ role during the Intifada

37%

39%

 

Table (2): Relationship between educational attainment and attitudes

12 Years or less

Over 12 Years

Positive evaluation of President Arafat

60%

50%

Support for negotiations

52%

40%

Opposition to suicide attacks

19%

15%

Trust in Palestinian Official TV’s Intifada coverage

60%

48%

Negative evaluation of PNA’s role during the Intifada

14%

14%

Support for continuation of Intifada

76%

89%

Support for “mutual seize fire” as proposed by Mitchell Report

30%

21%

Positive evaluation of government civil services

42%

28%

Opposition to firing from Palestinian residential areas

81%

89%

Percentage of those who are optimistic

40%

36%

Negative evaluation of USA’s role during the Intifada

92%

99%

Negative evaluation of Islamic countries’ role during the Intifada

38%

64%

 


Development Studies Programme: Survey #4 - Main Page