Development Studies Programme - Birzeit University
         
 
Poll No. 20

A Specialized Poll about the Palestinian Presidential Elections

[ Analysis of Results ] [ Detailed Results ] [ Sample Distribution ] [ PDF Format ] [ In Arabic ]


 

Total %

West Bank %

Gaza Strip %

Presidential Election

1.               January 9, 2005 was declared as the date for presidential election to select the head of the Palestinian National Authority. Do you support or oppose the conduct of this election?

1) Support    

86.8

85.1

89.5

2) Oppose

10.5

11.2

9.2

3) No opinion

2.8

3.7

1.2

2.              Do you believe that the upcoming presidential election will be fair?

1) Yes

52.9

50.8

56.4

2) No

37.5

38.3

36.2

3) No opinion

9.6

10.9

7.5

3.              Do you believe that Israel will take the necessary measures to facilitate the conduct of this election?

1) Yes

54.8

53.8

56.4

2) No

37.5

37.4

37.5

3) No opinion

7.8

8.8

6.1

4.              Hamas and Islamic Jihad had declared their boycott of the upcoming Presidential election, do you support or oppose their position?

1) Support   

29.8

28.7

31.6

2) Oppose

61.2

60.5

62.1

3) No opinion

9.1

10.7

6.3

  5.              Did you register for the election?

1) Yes

74.3

73.9

75.0

2) No

25.7

26.1

25.0

  6.              If all citizens (registered or un-registered) were allowed to vote, do you intend to vote?

1) Yes

83.2

80.3

88.0

2) No

16.8

19.7

12.0

  7.              The following had nominated themselves for the presidential election, if election took place today, who would you vote for? (% of those who have decided to vote)

1) Marwan Barghouti

46.1

47.3

44.4

2) Mahmud Abbas

44.0

40.3

49.2

3) Mustafa Barghouti

6.7

8.5

4.1

Candidates getting 1 – 2%

1) Abdel Sattar Qasem

The Candidate getting less than 1%

1) Taysser Khaled

2) Hasan Khresheh

3) Hussien Baraka

4) Abdel Haleem Al Ashqar

5) Abdel Kareem Shubir

6) Bassam Salhi

 

Total %

West Bank %

Gaza Strip %

  8.              The following had nominated themselves for the presidential election, if election took place today, who would you vote for? (% of total sample excluding those who don’t intend to vote)

1) Marwan Barghouti

35.1

34.5

36.0

2) Mahmud Abbas

33.5

29.3

39.9

3) Mustafa Barghouti

5.1

6.2

3.3

Candidate getting  1%

1) Abdel Sattar Qasem

Candidates getting less than 1%

1) Taysser Khaled

2) Hasan Khresheh

3) Hussien Baraka

4) Abdel Haleem Al Ashqar

5) Abdel Kareem Shubir

6) Bassam Salhi

 Undecided

23.9

27.1

18.9

       9.         The following had nominated themselves for the presidential election, if election took place today, who would you vote for? ( % of total sample)

1) Marwan Barghouti

31.8

30.0

34.3

2) Mahmud Abbas

30.4

25.8

38.0

3) Mustafa Barghouti

4.6

5.5

3.2

Candidate getting less than 1%

1) Abdel Sattar Qasem

2) Taysser Khaled

3) Hasan Khresheh

4) Hussien Baraka

5) Abdel Haleem Al Ashqar

6) Abdel Kareem Shubir

7) Bassam Salhi

Undecided

21.6

23.8

18.0

Will not Participate

9.4

12.2

4.8

     10.       The following had nominated themselves for the presidential election, are you at all familiar with their names? (% of those who are familiar)

1) Marwan Barghouti

98.5

99.0

97.8

2) Mahmud Abbas

98.5

98.6

98.3

3) Mustafa Barghouti

89.0

91.7

84.7

4) Abdel Sattar Qasem

24.3

29.0

16.6

5) Hasan Khresheh

24.0

28.8

16.3

6) Taysser Khaled

22.1

25.3

17.0

7) Abdel Kareem Shubir

16.3

13.2

21.4

8) Hussien Baraka

16.2

16.1

16.3

9) Abdel Haleem Al Ashqar

11.7

12.8

10.0

10) Bassam Salhi

10.2

11.7

7.9

     11.       Out of all candidates, who do you believe is the most suitable to lead the Palestinians during the coming period?

1) Mahmud Abbas

41.1

35.4

50.4

2) Marwan Barghouti

37.6

38.7

35.7

3) Mustafa Barghouti

4.9

5.4

4.1

4) Hasan Khresheh

0.8

0.9

0.5

5) Abdel Sattar Qasem

0.7

0.7

0.7

6) Taysser Khaled

0.5

0.7

0.0

7) Abdel Kareem Shubir

0.1

0.0

0.3

8) Hussien Baraka

0.1

0.0

0.4

9) Abdel Haleem Al Ashqar

0.1

0.0

0.2

10) Bassam Salhi

0.0

0.0

0.0

11) none

14.2

18.1

7.7

     12.       Who do you think will win the election?

1) Mahmud Abbas

64.4

59.7

72.0

2) Marwan Barghouti

21.6

23.2

19.0

3) Mustafa Barghouti

2.2

2.3