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Poll No. 20
A Specialized Poll about the Palestinian Presidential
Elections
[ Analysis of Results ] [
Detailed Results ] [ Sample Distribution ] [
PDF Format ] [
In Arabic ]
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Total % |
West Bank % |
Gaza Strip % |
|
Presidential Election
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|
1.
January
9, 2005 was declared as the date for presidential election to select the
head of the Palestinian National Authority. Do you support or oppose the
conduct of this election? |
|
1) Support |
86.8 |
85.1 |
89.5 |
|
2) Oppose |
10.5 |
11.2 |
9.2 |
|
3) No opinion |
2.8 |
3.7 |
1.2 |
|
2.
Do
you believe that the upcoming presidential election will be fair? |
|
1) Yes |
52.9 |
50.8 |
56.4 |
|
2) No |
37.5 |
38.3 |
36.2 |
|
3) No opinion |
9.6 |
10.9 |
7.5 |
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3.
Do
you believe that
Israel will take the necessary measures to facilitate the conduct of this
election? |
|
1) Yes |
54.8 |
53.8 |
56.4 |
|
2) No |
37.5 |
37.4 |
37.5 |
|
3) No opinion |
7.8 |
8.8 |
6.1 |
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4.
Hamas
and Islamic Jihad had declared their boycott of the upcoming Presidential
election, do you support or oppose their position? |
|
1) Support |
29.8 |
28.7 |
31.6 |
|
2) Oppose |
61.2 |
60.5 |
62.1 |
|
3) No opinion |
9.1 |
10.7 |
6.3 |
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5.
Did
you register for the election? |
|
1) Yes |
74.3 |
73.9 |
75.0 |
|
2) No |
25.7 |
26.1 |
25.0 |
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6.
If
all citizens (registered or un-registered) were allowed to vote, do you
intend to vote? |
|
1) Yes |
83.2 |
80.3 |
88.0 |
|
2) No |
16.8 |
19.7 |
12.0 |
|
7.
The
following had nominated themselves for the presidential election, if
election took place today, who would you vote for? (% of those who have
decided to vote) |
|
1) Marwan Barghouti |
46.1 |
47.3 |
44.4 |
|
2) Mahmud Abbas |
44.0 |
40.3 |
49.2 |
|
3) Mustafa Barghouti |
6.7 |
8.5 |
4.1 |
|
Candidates getting 1 – 2% |
|
1) Abdel Sattar Qasem |
|
The Candidate getting less than 1% |
|
1) Taysser Khaled |
|
2) Hasan Khresheh |
|
3) Hussien Baraka |
|
4) Abdel Haleem Al Ashqar |
|
5) Abdel Kareem Shubir |
|
6) Bassam Salhi |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
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Total % |
West Bank % |
Gaza Strip % |
|
8.
The
following had nominated themselves for the presidential election, if
election took place today, who would you vote for? (% of total sample
excluding those who don’t intend to vote) |
|
1) Marwan Barghouti |
35.1 |
34.5 |
36.0 |
|
2) Mahmud Abbas |
33.5 |
29.3 |
39.9 |
|
3) Mustafa Barghouti |
5.1 |
6.2 |
3.3 |
|
Candidate getting 1% |
|
1) Abdel Sattar Qasem |
|
Candidates getting less than 1% |
|
1) Taysser Khaled |
|
2) Hasan Khresheh |
|
3) Hussien Baraka |
|
4) Abdel Haleem Al Ashqar |
|
5) Abdel Kareem Shubir |
|
6) Bassam Salhi |
|
Undecided |
23.9 |
27.1 |
18.9 |
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9.
The
following had nominated themselves for the presidential election, if
election took place today, who would you vote for? ( % of total sample) |
|
1) Marwan Barghouti |
31.8 |
30.0 |
34.3 |
|
2) Mahmud Abbas |
30.4 |
25.8 |
38.0 |
|
3) Mustafa Barghouti |
4.6 |
5.5 |
3.2 |
|
Candidate getting less than 1% |
|
1) Abdel Sattar Qasem |
|
2) Taysser Khaled |
|
3) Hasan Khresheh |
|
4) Hussien Baraka |
|
5) Abdel Haleem Al Ashqar |
|
6) Abdel Kareem Shubir |
|
7) Bassam Salhi |
|
Undecided |
21.6 |
23.8 |
18.0 |
|
Will not Participate |
9.4 |
12.2 |
4.8 |
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10.
The
following had nominated themselves for the presidential election, are you
at all familiar with their names? (% of those who are familiar) |
|
1) Marwan Barghouti |
98.5 |
99.0 |
97.8 |
|
2) Mahmud Abbas |
98.5 |
98.6 |
98.3 |
|
3) Mustafa Barghouti |
89.0 |
91.7 |
84.7 |
|
4) Abdel Sattar Qasem |
24.3 |
29.0 |
16.6 |
|
5) Hasan Khresheh |
24.0 |
28.8 |
16.3 |
|
6) Taysser Khaled |
22.1 |
25.3 |
17.0 |
|
7) Abdel Kareem Shubir |
16.3 |
13.2 |
21.4 |
|
8) Hussien Baraka |
16.2 |
16.1 |
16.3 |
|
9) Abdel Haleem Al Ashqar |
11.7 |
12.8 |
10.0 |
|
10) Bassam Salhi |
10.2 |
11.7 |
7.9 |
|
11.
Out
of all candidates, who do you believe is the most suitable to lead the
Palestinians during the coming period? |
|
1) Mahmud Abbas |
41.1 |
35.4 |
50.4 |
|
2) Marwan Barghouti |
37.6 |
38.7 |
35.7 |
|
3) Mustafa Barghouti |
4.9 |
5.4 |
4.1 |
|
4) Hasan Khresheh |
0.8 |
0.9 |
0.5 |
|
5) Abdel Sattar Qasem |
0.7 |
0.7 |
0.7 |
|
6) Taysser Khaled |
0.5 |
0.7 |
0.0 |
|
7) Abdel Kareem Shubir |
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.3 |
|
8) Hussien Baraka |
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.4 |
|
9) Abdel Haleem Al Ashqar |
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.2 |
|
10) Bassam Salhi |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
11) none |
14.2 |
18.1 |
7.7 |
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12.
Who
do you think will win the election? |
|
1) Mahmud Abbas |
64.4 |
59.7 |
72.0 |
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2) Marwan Barghouti |
21.6 |
23.2 |
19.0 |
|
3) Mustafa Barghouti |
2.2 |
2.3 |
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